Background and Context
With national elections approaching in early 2025, there is a pressing need for credible, data-driven insights into voter sentiment. Existing polling efforts suffer from small, biased samples or non-representative methodologies, especially for rural constituencies.
Social media-based surveys often exclude large segments of the population. Our recent fieldwork in rural constituencies confirms that online engagement does not reflect voter reality.
Our Approach: A Credible Alternative
We recently completed a constituency-level study using a sample of over 2,000 respondents selected via union-level census data. A four-layer bias filtration system was implemented to ensure objectivity:
- Questionnaire Design: Balanced, party-neutral framing.
- Enumerator Protocol: Academically trained enumerators with no political alignment.
- Research Assistants: Qualitative field notes collected independently of survey data.
- Independent Analysis: Data reviewed by foreign-based researchers unaware of local political context.
Our Goals
We help condidate building evidence based, data driven campaign strategy by
- Create a real-time electoral insights dashboard.
- Enable data-driven campaign strategy.
- Monitor effects of campaign interventions over time.
Assist in Candidate Selection
To break with dynastic, opaque selection methods, we help finding candidate who can realy win the election
- Evidence gathering on candidate social appeal
- Completative popularity of condidates among voters
- Determining customized need of the constiuency for electoral strategy